| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 61.8% | 66% | -4.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 56.0% | 29.2% |
| xgboost | 43.4% | 55.7% |
| logistic | 76.4% | 23.6% |
| Vegas Golden Knights | Anaheim Ducks | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1622 | 1473 |
| Surface Elo | 1622 | 1473 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 141 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 5 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | H | Chicago Blackhawks | 5 - 2 | W |
| 15 Jun | H | Carolina Hurricanes | 0 - 3 | L |
| 12 Jun | A | Carolina Hurricanes | 2 - 4 | L |
| 10 Jun | H | Carolina Hurricanes | 3 - 5 | L |
| 07 Jun | H | Carolina Hurricanes | 5 - 4 | W |
| 15 May | H | Vegas Golden Knights | 1 - 5 | L |
| 13 May | A | Vegas Golden Knights | 2 - 3 | L |
| 11 May | H | Vegas Golden Knights | 4 - 3 | W |
| 09 May | H | Vegas Golden Knights | 2 - 6 | L |
| 07 May | A | Vegas Golden Knights | 3 - 1 | W |
| 15 May 2026 | Anaheim Ducks | 1 - 5 | Vegas Golden Knights |
| 13 May 2026 | Vegas Golden Knights | 3 - 2 | Anaheim Ducks |
| 11 May 2026 | Anaheim Ducks | 4 - 3 | Vegas Golden Knights |
| 09 May 2026 | Anaheim Ducks | 2 - 6 | Vegas Golden Knights |
| 07 May 2026 | Vegas Golden Knights | 1 - 3 | Anaheim Ducks |
| 05 May 2026 | Vegas Golden Knights | 3 - 1 | Anaheim Ducks |
| 02 Feb 2026 | Anaheim Ducks | 4 - 3 | Vegas Golden Knights |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Anaheim Ducks | 4 - 3 | Vegas Golden Knights |
| 09 Nov 2025 | Vegas Golden Knights | 3 - 4 | Anaheim Ducks |
| 24 Dec 2024 | Vegas Golden Knights | 3 - 1 | Anaheim Ducks |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.51 | 66.2% | 03 Oct 01:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.76 | 36.2% | 03 Oct 01:20 |