OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-08
⚽ Greek Super League · Sunday 08 November 2026, 15:00 UTC · finished
AEK 2.00 2 - 1 1.00 Levadeiakos
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 77.2%85%-8.2%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 92.1%100%-7.8%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 90.9%100%-9.0%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 49.3%45%+3.8%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 53.1%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson73.2%18.8%8.1%
xgboost82.1%12.1%5.8%
logistic80.2%14.3%5.5%
Inputs the models saw
AEKLevadeiakos
Elo (pre-match)17891528
Surface Elo17891528
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.001.00
Form trend0.20-0.70
Season points per game2.130.67
Season goals for / game2.630.33
Season goals against / game0.631.22
Rest days67
Head-to-head (last 10)9 W0 W · 1 D
AEK: last 5
04 NovHReal Madrid2 - 3L
01 NovAPanathinaikos0 - 2L
01 NovAPanathinaikos0 - 2L
28 OctAPAOK1 - 3L
24 OctHPanetolikos5 - 0W
Levadeiakos: last 5
01 NovHAris3 - 0W
24 OctAAsteras Tripolis0 - 0D
17 OctHVolos NFC0 - 0D
11 OctAIraklis0 - 2L
20 SepHOlympiakos0 - 1L
Head to head
22 Feb 2026AEK4 - 0Levadeiakos
14 Sep 2025Levadeiakos0 - 1AEK
22 Dec 2024AEK1 - 1Levadeiakos
01 Sep 2024Levadeiakos0 - 3AEK
13 Feb 2023AEK3 - 0Levadeiakos
24 Oct 2022Levadeiakos0 - 2AEK
05 May 2019Levadeiakos0 - 3AEK
30 Jan 2019AEK1 - 0Levadeiakos
22 Apr 2018AEK2 - 0Levadeiakos
03 Dec 2017Levadeiakos0 - 2AEK
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away13.007.7%08 Nov 15:00
Bet3651X2draw5.2519.1%08 Nov 15:00
Bet3651X2home1.2282.0%08 Nov 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.6759.9%08 Nov 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.1546.5%08 Nov 15:00
Generated 2026-11-12 22:04 UTC