OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-09
🎾 ATP Challenger Palermo, Italy Men Singles · Friday 09 October 2026, 15:00 UTC · finished
Massimo Giunta 1.80 1 - 2 2.40 Alejandro Moro Canas
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 65.6%68%-2.2%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov35.4%64.6%
poisson37.1%35.2%
xgboost32.1%67.9%
logistic30.3%69.7%
Inputs the models saw
Massimo GiuntaAlejandro Moro Canas
Elo (pre-match)14701685
Surface Elo14701685
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.802.40
Form trend-0.600.00
Season points per game1.802.50
Season goals for / game1.401.67
Season goals against / game1.000.50
Rest days12
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W1 W · 0 D
Massimo Giunta: last 5
07 OctAGianluca Cadenasso2 - 0W
06 OctAPierluigi Basile2 - 1W
05 OctAAlejandro Moro Canas1 - 2L
05 OctAGianluca Cadenasso2 - 0W
05 OctHPierluigi Basile2 - 1W
Alejandro Moro Canas: last 5
07 OctAAndrej Martin2 - 0W
06 OctAKalin Ivanovski2 - 0W
05 OctHJonas Forejtek1 - 2L
05 OctHMassimo Giunta2 - 1W
05 OctHAndrej Martin2 - 0W
Head to head
05 Oct 2026Alejandro Moro Canas2 - 1Massimo Giunta
20 Jul 2026Alejandro Moro Canas2 - 1Massimo Giunta
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.4369.9%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.7037.0%09 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:20 UTC