| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 60.7% | 67% | -6.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 47.5% | 52.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 32.1% | 67.9% |
| logistic | 34.2% | 65.8% |
| Daniel Milavsky | Darwin Blanch | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1534 | 1694 |
| Surface Elo | 1534 | 1694 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Govind Nanda | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Darwin Blanch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Govind Nanda | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Darwin Blanch | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Blaise Bicknell | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Albert Pedrico Kravtsov | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Jenson Brooksby | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Sander Jong | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Mees Rottgering | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Daniel Milavsky | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Daniel Milavsky | 0 - 2 | Darwin Blanch |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Darwin Blanch | 2 - 1 | Daniel Milavsky |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Daniel Milavsky | 1 - 2 | Darwin Blanch |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.50 | 66.7% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.50 | 40.0% | 21 Oct 06:15 |