| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.3% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 39.2% | 45.2% |
| xgboost | 33.4% | 65.8% |
| logistic | 52.3% | 47.7% |
| Buffalo Sabres | Tampa Bay Lightning | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1540 | 1578 |
| Surface Elo | 1540 | 1578 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.47 | 0.65 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.94 | 3.71 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.35 | 3.12 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 08 Nov | H | Vegas Golden Knights | 1 - 4 | L |
| 07 Nov | H | Columbus Blue Jackets | 5 - 2 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Ottawa Senators | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Los Angeles Kings | 3 - 2 | W |
| 30 Oct | A | Anaheim Ducks | 7 - 6 | W |
| 08 Nov | A | Winnipeg Jets | 3 - 4 | L |
| 08 Nov | A | Minnesota Wild | 4 - 3 | W |
| 06 Nov | H | Chicago Blackhawks | 4 - 1 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Detroit Red Wings | 4 - 2 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Nashville Predators | 4 - 5 | L |
| 06 Apr 2026 | Buffalo Sabres | 4 - 2 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| 08 Mar 2026 | Buffalo Sabres | 8 - 7 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| 01 Mar 2026 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 2 - 6 | Buffalo Sabres |
| 04 Feb 2026 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 4 - 3 | Buffalo Sabres |
| 13 Apr 2025 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 7 - 4 | Buffalo Sabres |
| 05 Apr 2025 | Buffalo Sabres | 3 - 2 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| 07 Mar 2025 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 6 - 5 | Buffalo Sabres |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||