| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 65.1% | 75% | -10.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 63.6% | 22.7% |
| xgboost | 81.1% | 18.1% |
| logistic | 64.5% | 35.5% |
| Dallas Stars | San Jose Sharks | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1556 | 1414 |
| Surface Elo | 1556 | 1414 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.56 | 0.39 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.81 | 2.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.38 | 3.61 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 6 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 06 Nov | A | Columbus Blue Jackets | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Washington Capitals | 6 - 5 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Columbus Blue Jackets | 3 - 1 | W |
| 30 Oct | H | Montréal Canadiens | 2 - 5 | L |
| 28 Oct | H | New Jersey Devils | 1 - 5 | L |
| 07 Nov | A | Minnesota Wild | 1 - 4 | L |
| 05 Nov | A | Los Angeles Kings | 2 - 7 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Calgary Flames | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Ottawa Senators | 1 - 5 | L |
| 30 Oct | H | Vancouver Canucks | 3 - 2 | W |
| 06 Oct 2026 | Dallas Stars | 5 - 0 | San Jose Sharks |
| 10 Jan 2026 | San Jose Sharks | 5 - 4 | Dallas Stars |
| 19 Dec 2025 | San Jose Sharks | 3 - 5 | Dallas Stars |
| 06 Dec 2025 | Dallas Stars | 4 - 1 | San Jose Sharks |
| 09 Feb 2025 | San Jose Sharks | 3 - 8 | Dallas Stars |
| 21 Nov 2024 | Dallas Stars | 5 - 2 | San Jose Sharks |
| 16 Oct 2024 | Dallas Stars | 3 - 2 | San Jose Sharks |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.33 | 75.2% | 07 Nov 20:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 3.60 | 27.8% | 07 Nov 20:20 |