OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-08
⚽ Belgian Pro League · Sunday 08 November 2026, 17:30 UTC · finished
St. Gilloise 2.60 1 - 0 1.40 Genk
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 68.0%64%+4.3%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 86.3%89%-3.0%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 83.0%83%-0.1%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 59.1%62%-3.4%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 55.0%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson62.7%22.6%14.7%
xgboost72.6%16.2%11.3%
logistic70.5%18.1%11.3%
Inputs the models saw
St. GilloiseGenk
Elo (pre-match)18221613
Surface Elo18221613
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.601.40
Form trend0.00-0.10
Season points per game2.601.50
Season goals for / game2.901.80
Season goals against / game0.701.40
Rest days78
Head-to-head (last 10)7 W3 W · 0 D
St. Gilloise: last 5
31 OctABeveren2 - 1W
25 OctHCercle Brugge5 - 2W
11 OctHOud-Heverlee Leuven1 - 1D
20 SepAAntwerp2 - 0W
12 SepHLommel SK5 - 0W
Genk: last 5
31 OctAYellow-Red KV Mechelen0 - 1L
31 OctAMechelen0 - 1L
25 OctHStandard2 - 1W
25 OctHStandard2 - 1W
17 OctARoyal Excelsior Virton2 - 0W
Head to head
07 Mar 2026St. Gilloise2 - 1Genk
21 Sep 2025Genk1 - 2St. Gilloise
03 May 2025St. Gilloise1 - 0Genk
20 Apr 2025Genk1 - 2St. Gilloise
15 Mar 2025Genk2 - 1St. Gilloise
10 Nov 2024St. Gilloise4 - 0Genk
26 May 2024St. Gilloise2 - 0Genk
01 Apr 2024Genk1 - 0St. Gilloise
03 Feb 2024Genk0 - 1St. Gilloise
16 Sep 2023St. Gilloise0 - 2Genk
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away5.0020.0%08 Nov 17:30
Bet3651X2draw4.0025.0%08 Nov 17:30
Bet3651X2home1.5564.5%08 Nov 17:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.5763.7%08 Nov 17:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.3542.5%08 Nov 17:30
Generated 2026-11-12 22:03 UTC