| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.0% | 60% | -7.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 53.6% | 46.4% |
| logistic | 46.3% | 53.7% |
| Dane Sweeny | Kimmer Coppejans | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1610 | 1648 |
| Surface Elo | 1610 | 1648 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | H | Tristan Schoolkate | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Alex Bolt | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Petr Bar Biryukov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Omar Jasika | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Taro Daniel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Nishesh Basavareddy | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Luka Mikrut | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Sean Cuenin | 1 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Luka Mikrut | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Sean Cuenin | 1 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 06 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.68 | 59.5% | 06 Oct 06:15 |