| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 63.9% | 68% | -3.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 39.5% | 60.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 40.6% | 59.3% |
| logistic | 39.1% | 60.9% |
| Mika Petkovic | Gianluca Cadenasso | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1556 | 1623 |
| Surface Elo | 1556 | 1623 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Rest days | 12 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 29 Oct | A | Oliver Tarvet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | James Beaven | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Mark Ceban | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Calvin Mueller | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Leonardo Rossi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Jay Clarke | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Florent Bax | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Sandro Kopp | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Sandro Kopp | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Radu Mihai Papoe | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.52 | 65.8% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 10 Nov 06:15 |