OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-20

⚽ League One · Tuesday 20 October 2026, 19:45 UTC · finished

Luton 0.80 2 - 1 0.20 Barnsley

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
No prediction run for this match yet.

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Draw	Away
–

Inputs the models saw

	Luton	Barnsley
Elo (pre-match)	1547	1429
Surface Elo	1547	1429
Form, last 5 (PPG)	0.80	0.20
Form trend	-0.10	0.00
Season points per game	1.22	0.89
Season goals for / game	1.89	1.00
Season goals against / game	1.89	1.89
Rest days	3	3
Head-to-head (last 10)	5 W	3 W · 2 D

Luton: last 5

20 Oct	H	Barnsley	2 - 1	W
17 Oct	A	Milton Keynes Dons	1 - 2	L
17 Oct	A	Milton Keynes Dons	1 - 2	L
10 Oct	A	Wycombe	4 - 1	W
10 Oct	A	Wycombe	4 - 1	W

Barnsley: last 5

20 Oct	A	Luton	1 - 2	L
17 Oct	H	Cambridge	1 - 2	L
17 Oct	H	Cambridge	1 - 2	L
10 Oct	A	Stockport	1 - 3	L
10 Oct	A	Stockport	1 - 3	L

Head to head

20 Oct 2026	Luton	2 - 1	Barnsley
25 Apr 2026	Luton	2 - 1	Barnsley
22 Nov 2025	Barnsley	5 - 0	Luton
08 Feb 2022	Luton	2 - 1	Barnsley
17 Aug 2021	Barnsley	0 - 1	Luton
05 Apr 2021	Luton	1 - 2	Barnsley
12 Sep 2020	Barnsley	0 - 1	Luton
07 Jul 2020	Luton	1 - 1	Barnsley
24 Aug 2019	Barnsley	1 - 3	Luton
01 Jan 2019	Luton	0 - 0	Barnsley

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Bet365	1X2	away	5.50	18.2%	20 Oct 19:45
Bet365	1X2	draw	4.33	23.1%	20 Oct 19:45
Bet365	1X2	home	1.46	68.5%	20 Oct 19:45
Bet365	O/U 2.5	over	1.36	73.5%	20 Oct 19:45
Bet365	O/U 2.5	under	3.10	32.3%	20 Oct 19:45

Generated 2026-10-30 18:18 UTC