| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 59.9% | 66% | -6.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 48.1% | 51.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 29.4% | 70.5% |
| logistic | 47.8% | 52.2% |
| Francisco Cerundolo | Jakub Mensik | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1930 | 1950 |
| Surface Elo | 1930 | 1950 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Oct | H | Jakub Mensik | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Alexander Blockx | 1 - 3 | L |
| 05 Sep | H | Taylor Fritz | 3 - 2 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Francisco Cerundolo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | A | Alexander Bublik | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Alexander Bublik | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | Learner Tien | 2 - 3 | L |
| 03 Sep | H | Jurij Rodionov | 3 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct 2026 | Francisco Cerundolo | 2 - 0 | Jakub Mensik |
| 21 Apr 2025 | Francisco Cerundolo | 2 - 1 | Jakub Mensik |
| 26 Sep 2024 | Francisco Cerundolo | 2 - 0 | Jakub Mensik |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.51 | 66.2% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.65 | 37.7% | 02 Oct 06:15 |