OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-28

🎾 tennis_atp_vienna_open · Wednesday 28 October 2026, 19:00 UTC · scheduled

Learner Tien 1.80 19:00 1.80 Alex De Minaur

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Away win	56.9%	53%	+4.2%

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
poisson	37.0%	35.2%
xgboost	40.5%	59.4%
logistic	42.7%	57.3%
markov	abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0)

Inputs the models saw

	Learner Tien	Alex De Minaur
Elo (pre-match)	1929	2045
Surface Elo	1929	2045
Form, last 5 (PPG)	1.80	1.80
Form trend	0.30	0.30
Season points per game	1.50	1.50
Season goals for / game	1.50	1.50
Season goals against / game	1.50	1.50
Rest days	2	2
Head-to-head (last 10)	0 W	0 W · 0 D

Learner Tien: last 5

26 Oct	A	Luca Van Assche	2 - 0	W
12 Oct	H	Casper Ruud	0 - 2	L
12 Oct	A	Casper Ruud	0 - 2	L
10 Oct	H	Zachary Svajda	2 - 0	W
10 Oct	H	Zachary Svajda	2 - 0	W

Alex De Minaur: last 5

26 Oct	A	Tomas Machac	2 - 1	W
15 Oct	A	Alexander Zverev	0 - 2	L
15 Oct	H	Alexander Zverev	0 - 2	L
13 Oct	H	Karen Khachanov	2 - 0	W
13 Oct	H	Karen Khachanov	2 - 0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings in our data.

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
1xBet	h2h	Alex de Minaur	1.89	52.9%	28 Oct 06:01
1xBet	h2h	Learner Tien	1.96	51.0%	28 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Alex de Minaur	1.85	54.0%	28 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Learner Tien	1.95	51.3%	28 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Alex de Minaur	1.80	55.6%	28 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Learner Tien	2.05	48.8%	28 Oct 06:01
Betclic (FR)	h2h	Alex de Minaur	1.84	54.4%	28 Oct 06:01
Betclic (FR)	h2h	Learner Tien	1.89	52.9%	28 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Alex de Minaur	1.93	51.8%	28 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Learner Tien	2.06	48.5%	28 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Alex de Minaur	1.94	51.5%	28 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Learner Tien	2.08	48.1%	28 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Alex de Minaur	1.86	53.8%	28 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Learner Tien	1.96	51.0%	28 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Alex de Minaur	1.86	53.8%	28 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Learner Tien	1.91	52.4%	28 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Alex de Minaur	1.87	53.5%	28 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Learner Tien	1.95	51.3%	28 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Alex de Minaur	1.87	53.5%	28 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Learner Tien	1.93	51.8%	28 Oct 06:01
Marathon Bet	h2h	Alex de Minaur	1.86	53.8%	28 Oct 06:01
Marathon Bet	h2h	Learner Tien	1.93	51.8%	28 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Alex de Minaur	1.93	51.8%	28 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Learner Tien	2.04	49.0%	28 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Alex de Minaur	1.97	50.8%	28 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Learner Tien	2.08	48.1%	28 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Alex de Minaur	1.86	53.8%	28 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Learner Tien	1.91	52.4%	28 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Alex de Minaur	1.90	52.6%	28 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Learner Tien	2.01	49.8%	28 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Alex de Minaur	1.79	55.9%	28 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Learner Tien	1.85	54.0%	28 Oct 06:01
SportyBet	1X2	away	1.90	52.6%	28 Oct 06:15
SportyBet	1X2	home	1.95	51.3%	28 Oct 06:15
Tipico	h2h	Alex de Minaur	1.80	55.6%	28 Oct 06:01
Tipico	h2h	Learner Tien	1.90	52.6%	28 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Alex de Minaur	1.78	56.2%	28 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Learner Tien	1.82	54.9%	28 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Alex de Minaur	1.87	53.5%	28 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Learner Tien	1.93	51.8%	28 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Alex de Minaur	1.87	53.5%	28 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Learner Tien	1.93	51.8%	28 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Alex de Minaur	1.85	54.0%	28 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Learner Tien	1.95	51.3%	28 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Alex de Minaur	1.90	52.6%	28 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Learner Tien	1.96	51.0%	28 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Alex de Minaur	1.84	54.4%	28 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Learner Tien	1.88	53.2%	28 Oct 06:01

Generated 2026-10-30 15:05 UTC