| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 47.9% | 36% | +12.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 74.9% | 81% | -5.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 60.4% | 48% | +12.4% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.3% | 58% | +0.9% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 58.9% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 35.8% | 23.6% | 40.6% |
| xgboost | 35.3% | 33.5% | 31.2% |
| logistic | 43.1% | 26.3% | 30.6% |
| Woking | Harrogate | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1457 | 1432 |
| Surface Elo | 1457 | 1432 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.25 | 2.08 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 2.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.58 | 1.42 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Oct | A | Eastleigh | 3 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Eastleigh | 3 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Solihull | 2 - 4 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Solihull | 2 - 4 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Carlisle | 5 - 2 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Hornchurch | 3 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Hornchurch | 3 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Hartlepool | 1 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Hartlepool | 1 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Eastleigh | 4 - 1 | W |
| 10 Aug 2019 | Woking | 1 - 0 | Harrogate |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.40 | 41.7% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.50 | 40.0% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.75 | 57.1% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.05 | 48.8% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.10 | 47.6% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.10 | 32.3% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.69 | 59.2% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 10 Oct 06:15 |