| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.3% | 71% | -17.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 41.4% | 58.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 48.5% | 51.4% |
| logistic | 53.9% | 46.1% |
| Matisse Bobichon | Billy Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1565 | 1567 |
| Surface Elo | 1565 | 1567 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| Rest days | 2 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Felix Balshaw | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Billy Harris | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Sergio Callejon Hernando | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Alejandro Garcia Carbajal | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Daniil Sarksian | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Matisse Bobichon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Dalibor Svrcina | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Felix Balshaw | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Felix Balshaw | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Murphy Cassone | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Billy Harris | 0 - 2 | Matisse Bobichon |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.34 | 74.6% | 14 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.05 | 32.8% | 14 Oct 06:15 |