| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.8% | 67% | -13.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 59.6% | 26.4% |
| xgboost | 50.8% | 47.3% |
| logistic | 61.2% | 38.8% |
| Colorado Avalanche | Pittsburgh Penguins | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1568 | 1492 |
| Surface Elo | 1568 | 1492 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| Season goals for / game | 4.43 | 3.57 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.14 | 3.14 |
| Rest days | 2 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 15 Oct | H | Dallas Stars | 2 - 3 | L |
| 14 Oct | A | Dallas Stars | 3 - 2 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Toronto Maple Leafs | 3 - 6 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Calgary Flames | 7 - 3 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Winnipeg Jets | 2 - 3 | L |
| 14 Oct | A | Chicago Blackhawks | 3 - 5 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Dallas Stars | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Columbus Blue Jackets | 2 - 3 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Washington Capitals | 3 - 5 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Winnipeg Jets | 2 - 3 | L |
| 24 Mar 2026 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 2 - 6 | Colorado Avalanche |
| 17 Mar 2026 | Colorado Avalanche | 2 - 7 | Pittsburgh Penguins |
| 05 Mar 2025 | Colorado Avalanche | 4 - 1 | Pittsburgh Penguins |
| 11 Dec 2024 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 2 - 6 | Colorado Avalanche |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.49 | 67.1% | 16 Oct 21:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.81 | 35.6% | 16 Oct 21:20 |