| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 42.7% | 37% | +5.7% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 72.4% | 75% | -2.4% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 55.1% | 52% | +3.2% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.3% | 56% | +8.3% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 59.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 40.6% | 30.3% | 29.1% |
| xgboost | 34.6% | 32.7% | 32.8% |
| logistic | 35.8% | 29.4% | 34.8% |
| Oxford | Bradford | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1544 | 1578 |
| Surface Elo | 1544 | 1578 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 0.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 2 W · 1 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Wigan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Wigan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Mansfield | 1 - 1 | D |
| 15 Oct | A | Mansfield | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Notts County | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Burton | 0 - 0 | D |
| 20 Oct | A | Burton | 0 - 0 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Stevenage | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Stevenage | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Leyton Orient | 0 - 0 | D |
| 16 Mar 2019 | Oxford | 1 - 0 | Bradford |
| 24 Nov 2018 | Bradford | 2 - 0 | Oxford |
| 30 Dec 2017 | Bradford | 3 - 2 | Oxford |
| 12 Sep 2017 | Oxford | 2 - 2 | Bradford |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.33 | 30.0% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.70 | 37.0% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.95 | 51.3% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.83 | 54.6% | 23 Oct 06:15 |