| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 67.4% | 85% | -18.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 67.7% | 32.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 79.9% | 20.1% |
| logistic | 62.3% | 37.7% |
| Jenson Brooksby | Gabriel Debru | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1782 | 1653 |
| Surface Elo | 1782 | 1653 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.33 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 23 Oct | H | Patrick Maloney | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Timo Legout | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Mitchell Krueger | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Darwin Blanch | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Gabriel Debru | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Erik Arutiunian | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Alex Rybakov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Braden Shick | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Jenson Brooksby | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Erik Arutiunian | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Gabriel Debru | 1 - 2 | Jenson Brooksby |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.65 | 21.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.17 | 85.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |