| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.9% | 60% | -5.7% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 79.9% | 87% | -7.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 72.1% | 80% | -8.0% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.1% | 57% | -7.0% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 48.4% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 51.8% | 27.2% | 20.9% |
| xgboost | 51.3% | 27.6% | 21.1% |
| logistic | 56.4% | 26.3% | 17.3% |
| Sabadell | Sociedad B | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1483 | 1390 |
| Surface Elo | 1483 | 1390 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.42 | 0.92 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.92 | 1.83 |
| Rest days | 8 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 31 Oct | A | Albacete | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Albacete | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Tenerife | 1 - 1 | D |
| 25 Oct | H | Tenerife | 1 - 1 | D |
| 18 Oct | A | Burgos | 0 - 1 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Girona | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Las Palmas | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Almeria | 2 - 4 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Celta B | 1 - 4 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Granada | 2 - 3 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 4.00 | 25.0% | 09 Nov 19:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 09 Nov 19:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.81 | 55.2% | 09 Nov 19:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.00 | 50.0% | 09 Nov 19:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.80 | 55.6% | 09 Nov 19:30 |