| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 67.8% | 74% | -5.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 48.9% | 51.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 35.7% | 64.2% |
| logistic | 25.2% | 74.8% |
| Petr Nesterov | Timo Legout | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1523 | 1631 |
| Surface Elo | 1523 | 1631 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.33 | 2.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.22 | 1.43 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 0.79 |
| Rest days | 7 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | A | Aidan Mayo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Aidan Mayo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Christian Langmo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Hernandez, Carles | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Nov | H | Emile Hudd | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | H | Colin Sinclair | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Valentin Royer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Andrew Fenty | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Valentin Royer | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.36 | 73.5% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.00 | 33.3% | 10 Nov 06:15 |