| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.3% | 64% | -6.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.2% | 48.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 63.5% | 36.5% |
| logistic | 55.6% | 44.4% |
| Hynek Barton | Petr Nesterov | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1607 | 1552 |
| Surface Elo | 1607 | 1552 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | H | Laslo Djere | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Max Hans Rehberg | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Toby Samuel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Stefan Latinovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Sep | H | Zdenek Kolar | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Carles Hernandez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Charles Chen | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Goncalo Marques | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Marko Topo | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.35 | 42.5% | 05 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.56 | 64.1% | 05 Oct 06:15 |