| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 86.4% | 93% | -6.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 62.6% | 37.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 93.2% | 6.8% |
| logistic | 86.3% | 13.7% |
| Filip Misolic | Alan Magadan | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1660 | 1489 |
| Surface Elo | 1660 | 1489 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 1.13 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.73 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Nov | A | Ryan Nijboer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Juan Pablo Varillas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Mateus Alves | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Nov | A | Nicolas Barrientos | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Valerio Aboian | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Valerio Aboian | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Carlos Maria Zarate | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Tristan McCormick | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 7.10 | 14.1% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.08 | 92.6% | 09 Nov 06:15 |