| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.5% | 68% | -10.5% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 37.1% | 62.9% |
| logistic | 44.6% | 55.4% |
| markov | abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0) | |
| Mika Brunold | Nuno Borges | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1753 | 1855 |
| Surface Elo | 1753 | 1855 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 16 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 25 Oct | H | Remy Bertola | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Jaime Faria | 1 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Matteo Martineau | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Jerome Kym | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Felix Balshaw | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Jiri Lehecka | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Jiri Lehecka | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Novak Djokovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | h2h | Mika Brunold | 2.60 | 38.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| 888sport | h2h | Nuno Borges | 1.50 | 66.7% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Mika Brunold | 2.84 | 35.2% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Nuno Borges | 1.52 | 65.8% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Mika Brunold | 2.94 | 34.0% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Nuno Borges | 1.55 | 64.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Mika Brunold | 2.62 | 38.2% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Nuno Borges | 1.53 | 65.4% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Mika Brunold | 2.80 | 35.7% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Nuno Borges | 1.43 | 69.9% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Mika Brunold | 2.74 | 36.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Nuno Borges | 1.48 | 67.6% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Mika Brunold | 3.10 | 32.3% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Nuno Borges | 1.58 | 63.3% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Mika Brunold | 2.66 | 37.6% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Nuno Borges | 1.52 | 65.8% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Mika Brunold | 2.65 | 37.7% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Nuno Borges | 1.38 | 72.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.47 | 68.0% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.75 | 36.4% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Mika Brunold | 2.50 | 40.0% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Nuno Borges | 1.40 | 71.4% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Mika Brunold | 2.80 | 35.7% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Nuno Borges | 1.43 | 69.9% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Mika Brunold | 2.80 | 35.7% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Nuno Borges | 1.43 | 69.9% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| William Hill | h2h | Mika Brunold | 2.60 | 38.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| William Hill | h2h | Nuno Borges | 1.50 | 66.7% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Mika Brunold | 2.70 | 37.0% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Nuno Borges | 1.50 | 66.7% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Mika Brunold | 2.55 | 39.2% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Nuno Borges | 1.46 | 68.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |