OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-25
🇮🇹 Serie A · Sunday 25 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Genoa 0.80 1 - 0 0.60 Venezia
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 47.5%46%+1.2%✓ hit
DCHome or away 75.6%75%+1.0%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 61.7%64%-2.6%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 54.6%52%+3.1%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 55.2%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson48.5%27.3%24.1%
xgboost47.5%22.2%30.3%
logistic38.2%29.5%32.4%
Inputs the models saw
GenoaVenezia
Elo (pre-match)15771587
Surface Elo15771587
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.800.60
Form trend-0.20-0.60
Season points per game0.570.43
Season goals for / game0.710.86
Season goals against / game1.862.29
Rest days78
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W1 W · 2 D
Genoa: last 5
17 OctARoma0 - 2L
17 OctARoma0 - 2L
10 OctHFiorentina2 - 1W
10 OctHFiorentina2 - 1W
02 OctARapid Bucuresti 19230 - 2L
Venezia: last 5
17 OctHNapoli1 - 0W
17 OctHNapoli1 - 0W
12 OctAAtalanta1 - 3L
12 OctAAtalanta1 - 3L
10 OctHLecco0 - 1L
Head to head
17 Feb 2025Genoa2 - 0Venezia
21 Sep 2024Venezia2 - 0Genoa
16 Jan 2023Genoa1 - 0Venezia
14 Aug 2022Venezia1 - 2Genoa
20 Feb 2022Venezia1 - 1Genoa
31 Oct 2021Genoa0 - 0Venezia
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away3.5028.6%25 Oct 14:00
Bet3651X2draw3.5028.6%25 Oct 14:00
Bet3651X2home2.0548.8%25 Oct 14:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.8554.0%25 Oct 14:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.0050.0%25 Oct 14:00
SportyBet1X2away3.5428.2%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.4229.2%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.2544.4%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.9950.2%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.8653.8%25 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 23:30 UTC