| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 58.1% | 49% | +8.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 60.6% | 39.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 51.9% | 48.1% |
| logistic | 60.7% | 39.3% |
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | Francesco Passaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1689 | 1564 |
| Surface Elo | 1689 | 1564 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.70 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.70 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 06 Oct | H | Max Wiskandt | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Francesco Passaro | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Max Wiskandt | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Luka Mikrut | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Francesco Forti | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Oriol Roca Batalla | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Jonas Forejtek | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Yanaki Milev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Enrico Dalla Valle | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Carlo Alberto Caniato | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Carlo Alberto Caniato | 1 - 2 | Francesco Passaro |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Carlo Alberto Caniato | 1 - 2 | Francesco Passaro |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.79 | 55.9% | 08 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.96 | 51.0% | 08 Oct 06:15 |