| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.4% | 52% | -0.9% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 53.9% | 46.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 48.1% | 51.8% |
| logistic | 46.1% | 53.9% |
| Jessica Pegula | Linda Noskova | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1923 | 1907 |
| Surface Elo | 1923 | 1907 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 3 W 路 0 D |
| 10 Nov | A | Marta Kostyuk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | A | Coco Gauff | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Nov | A | Coco Gauff | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Jelena Ostapenko | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Aryna Sabalenka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Nov | A | Coco Gauff | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | A | Marta Kostyuk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | H | Marta Kostyuk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Viktorija Golubic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Jun 2026 | Jessica Pegula | 1 - 2 | Linda Noskova |
| 25 Sep 2025 | Jessica Pegula | 1 - 2 | Linda Noskova |
| 22 Jun 2025 | Jessica Pegula | 2 - 1 | Linda Noskova |
| 17 Feb 2025 | Jessica Pegula | 0 - 2 | Linda Noskova |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.85 | 54.0% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.00 | 50.0% | 12 Nov 06:15 |