| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 64.6% | 70% | -5.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 63.6% | 36.3% |
| logistic | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Adrian Andreev | Benjamin Pietri | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1583 | 1551 |
| Surface Elo | 1583 | 1551 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.18 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.45 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.73 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 09 Nov | A | Nikita Mashtakov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Nov | A | Ryotaro Taguchi | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Matteo Martineau | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Massimo Giunta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | A | Andrea Colombo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Nov | H | Alexander Vasilev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Kai Wehnelt | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Miles Jones | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Alexander Chang | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.70 | 37.0% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.42 | 70.4% | 10 Nov 06:15 |