OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-11
🇩🇪 Bundesliga · Sunday 11 October 2026, 13:30 UTC · finished
FC Koln 0.80 2 - 1 0.60 Borussia Mönchengladbach
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 49.8%50%-0.2%✓ hit
DCHome or away 76.2%80%-4.1%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 64.7%66%-1.3%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 69.8%67%+3.1%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 64.2%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson41.7%25.2%33.1%
xgboost46.8%26.4%26.8%
logistic50.9%25.9%23.2%
Inputs the models saw
FC KolnBorussia Mönchengladbach
Elo (pre-match)15121531
Surface Elo15121531
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.800.60
Form trend0.200.60
Season points per game1.000.00
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game2.254.00
Rest days2222
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W3 W · 3 D
FC Koln: last 5
10 OctH1. FC Saarbrucken0 - 0D
25 SepATSV Havelse3 - 1W
19 SepAHamburg1 - 2L
19 SepHIngolstadt3 - 0W
12 SepHWerder Bremen1 - 1D
Borussia Mönchengladbach: last 5
19 SepHMainz3 - 4L
12 SepAFreiburg0 - 5L
05 SepHElversberg3 - 4L
29 AugARB Leipzig0 - 3L
16 MayHHoffenheim4 - 0W
Head to head
21 Mar 2026FC Koln3 - 3Borussia Mönchengladbach
08 Nov 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach3 - 1FC Koln
09 Mar 2024Borussia Mönchengladbach3 - 3FC Koln
22 Oct 2023FC Koln3 - 1Borussia Mönchengladbach
02 Apr 2023FC Koln0 - 0Borussia Mönchengladbach
09 Oct 2022Borussia Mönchengladbach5 - 2FC Koln
16 Apr 2022Borussia Mönchengladbach1 - 3FC Koln
27 Nov 2021FC Koln4 - 1Borussia Mönchengladbach
06 Feb 2021Borussia Mönchengladbach1 - 2FC Koln
03 Oct 2020FC Koln1 - 3Borussia Mönchengladbach
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away3.5028.6%11 Oct 14:30
Bet3651X2draw3.9025.6%11 Oct 14:30
Bet3651X2home1.9152.4%11 Oct 14:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.5066.7%11 Oct 14:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.6338.0%11 Oct 14:30
Generated 2026-10-30 19:22 UTC