| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.5% | 63% | -7.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 58.3% | 41.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 51.5% | 48.4% |
| logistic | 50.1% | 49.9% |
| Michele Ribecai | Radu Mihai Papoe | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1554 | 1575 |
| Surface Elo | 1554 | 1575 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.40 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 10 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Radu Mihai Papoe | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Jonas Forejtek | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Zdenek Kolar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Benito Sanchez Martinez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Jonas Forejtek | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Gianluca Cadenasso | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Felix Gill | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Zdenek Kolar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Luca Potenza | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Michele Ribecai | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Michele Ribecai | 0 - 2 | Radu Mihai Papoe |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.65 | 60.6% | 13 Oct 06:15 |