| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.2% | 51% | +2.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 44.9% | 55.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 46.1% | 53.9% |
| logistic | 51.8% | 48.2% |
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | Eduardo Ribeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1553 | 1485 |
| Surface Elo | 1553 | 1485 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 24 Sep | A | Franco Roncadelli | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 1 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Facundo Mena | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Eduardo Ribeiro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Franco Roncadelli | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Federico Coria | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Pedro Martinez | 1 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Federico Coria | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Pedro Martinez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Eduardo Ribeiro | 0 - 2 | Pedro Boscardin Dias |
| 17 Nov 2025 | Eduardo Ribeiro | 2 - 0 | Pedro Boscardin Dias |
| 13 Oct 2025 | Eduardo Ribeiro | 1 - 2 | Pedro Boscardin Dias |
| 28 Apr 2025 | Eduardo Ribeiro | 2 - 1 | Pedro Boscardin Dias |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.96 | 51.0% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.79 | 55.9% | 25 Sep 06:15 |