| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 49.0% | 59% | -9.7% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 76.6% | 83% | -6.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 63.4% | 76% | -12.7% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.5% | 66% | -11.0% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 45.4% | 25.5% | 29.1% |
| xgboost | 49.5% | 24.6% | 25.9% |
| logistic | 45.5% | 25.3% | 29.1% |
| Fylde | Hartlepool | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1412 | 1409 |
| Surface Elo | 1412 | 1409 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.83 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.83 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 2 W · 2 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Boreham Wood | 0 - 4 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Boreham Wood | 0 - 4 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Scunthorpe | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Scunthorpe | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Southend | 1 - 3 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Hornchurch | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Hornchurch | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Marine FC | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Forest Green | 4 - 2 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Forest Green | 4 - 2 | W |
| 04 Mar 2025 | Fylde | 2 - 1 | Hartlepool |
| 26 Nov 2024 | Hartlepool | 2 - 0 | Fylde |
| 09 Jan 2024 | Fylde | 2 - 1 | Hartlepool |
| 26 Aug 2023 | Hartlepool | 3 - 1 | Fylde |
| 13 Aug 2019 | Hartlepool | 2 - 2 | Fylde |
| 12 Mar 2019 | Fylde | 4 - 2 | Hartlepool |
| 27 Nov 2018 | Hartlepool | 1 - 2 | Fylde |
| 17 Mar 2018 | Fylde | 3 - 3 | Hartlepool |
| 26 Aug 2017 | Hartlepool | 0 - 2 | Fylde |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.10 | 24.4% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.10 | 24.4% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.71 | 58.5% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.51 | 66.2% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.50 | 40.0% | 27 Oct 06:15 |