| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 64.6% | 66% | -1.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 63.4% | 36.5% |
| logistic | 60.9% | 39.1% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Polina Iatcenko | Harmony Tan | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1539 | 1422 |
| Surface Elo | 1539 | 1422 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.88 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.88 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 11 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 09 Oct | A | Lucrezia Stefanini | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Dalma Galfi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Suzan Lamens | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Erika Andreeva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Teodora Kostovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Eva Vedder | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Tanguilig, C | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Voloshchuk, Angelina | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Carol Young Suh Lee | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Apr | A | Anna Bondar | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.40 | 41.7% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.53 | 65.4% | 12 Oct 06:15 |