OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🏒 Ice hockey on 2026-10-05
🏒 NHL · Monday 05 October 2026, 00:00 UTC · finished
Anaheim Ducks 0.40 3 - 2 0.80 Florida Panthers
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 38.7%57%-18.1%✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
poisson38.6%45.8%
xgboost34.5%64.5%
logistic60.3%39.7%
Inputs the models saw
Anaheim DucksFlorida Panthers
Elo (pre-match)14981502
Surface Elo14981502
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.400.80
Form trend-0.100.20
Season points per game1.000.50
Season goals for / game4.002.00
Season goals against / game3.002.00
Rest days12
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W2 W · 0 D
Anaheim Ducks: last 5
03 OctAVegas Golden Knights4 - 3W
15 MayHVegas Golden Knights1 - 5L
13 MayAVegas Golden Knights2 - 3L
11 MayHVegas Golden Knights4 - 3W
09 MayHVegas Golden Knights2 - 6L
Florida Panthers: last 5
02 OctASan Jose Sharks3 - 4L
29 SepACarolina Hurricanes1 - 0W
15 AprHDetroit Red Wings8 - 1W
13 AprHNew York Rangers3 - 2W
11 AprAToronto Maple Leafs6 - 2W
Head to head
05 Nov 2025Anaheim Ducks7 - 3Florida Panthers
28 Oct 2025Florida Panthers2 - 3Anaheim Ducks
22 Jan 2025Anaheim Ducks2 - 5Florida Panthers
18 Jan 2025Florida Panthers3 - 0Anaheim Ducks
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Pinnacle sharp1X2home2.1945.7%04 Oct 22:20
Pinnacle sharp1X2away1.7656.8%04 Oct 22:20
Generated 2026-10-30 17:06 UTC