OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ England National League · Saturday 24 October 2026, 11:30 UTC · finished
Harrogate 2.40 3 - 1 0.60 Sutton
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 52.1%59%-6.8%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 78.3%86%-7.2%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 68.8%78%-9.3%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 58.0%55%+3.5%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 52.7%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson48.0%26.1%25.9%
xgboost52.5%25.6%21.9%
logistic54.3%23.5%22.1%
Inputs the models saw
HarrogateSutton
Elo (pre-match)14521392
Surface Elo14521392
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.400.60
Form trend-0.600.20
Season points per game2.400.60
Season goals for / game2.001.00
Season goals against / game1.001.80
Rest days1314
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W6 W · 2 D
Harrogate: last 5
17 OctABury1 - 1D
10 OctAWoking1 - 0W
10 OctAWoking1 - 0W
03 OctHHornchurch3 - 0W
03 OctHHornchurch3 - 0W
Sutton: last 5
17 OctHTruro1 - 0W
13 OctHWest Brom3 - 2W
09 OctHBoreham Wood0 - 2L
09 OctHBoreham Wood0 - 2L
03 OctAKidderminster1 - 1D
Head to head
13 Apr 2024Harrogate2 - 2Sutton
30 Jan 2024Sutton1 - 2Harrogate
28 Jan 2023Harrogate0 - 1Sutton
03 Sep 2022Sutton2 - 1Harrogate
07 May 2022Harrogate0 - 2Sutton
18 Dec 2021Sutton1 - 0Harrogate
30 Nov 2019Sutton3 - 1Harrogate
28 Sep 2019Harrogate2 - 0Sutton
05 Jan 2019Sutton2 - 1Harrogate
04 Aug 2018Harrogate2 - 2Sutton
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away4.6021.7%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.7526.7%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.6859.5%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.8254.9%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.9252.1%23 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:20 UTC