| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.7% | 67% | -12.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 55.6% | 44.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 53.6% | 46.4% |
| logistic | 54.1% | 45.9% |
| Alex Michelsen | Botic Van De Zandschulp | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1876 | 1868 |
| Surface Elo | 1876 | 1868 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.20 | 1.25 |
| Rest days | 3 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 23 Oct | A | Arthur Fils | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Arthur Fils | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | David Goffin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | David Goffin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Andrea Guerrieri | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Clement Chidekh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Clement Chidekh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Oct | H | Rafael Jodar | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Oct | H | Rafael Jodar | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Arthur Fils | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 0 | Alex Michelsen |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Alex Michelsen | 0 - 2 | Botic Van De Zandschulp |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.50 | 66.7% | 26 Oct 06:15 |