| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 68.1% | 80% | -12.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.6% | 43.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 79.5% | 20.4% |
| logistic | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Oriol Roca Batalla | Luca Potenza | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1529 | 1480 |
| Surface Elo | 1529 | 1480 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.20 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.17 | 0.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.17 | 1.40 |
| Rest days | 6 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Luca Potenza | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Francesco Passaro | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Francesco Passaro | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | H | Calvin Hemery | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Diego Dedura Palomero | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Radu Mihai Papoe | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Oriol Roca Batalla | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Enrico Dalla Valle | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Enrico Dalla Valle | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Inaki Montes De La Torre | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Luca Potenza | 2 - 0 | Oriol Roca Batalla |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.75 | 26.7% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.25 | 80.0% | 13 Oct 06:15 |