| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.5% | 48% | +4.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 47.8% | 52.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 54.2% | 45.7% |
| logistic | 51.0% | 49.0% |
| Niels Visker | Marko Topo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1509 | 1507 |
| Surface Elo | 1509 | 1507 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 4 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | A | Harold Mayot | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Niels McDonald | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Harold Mayot | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Tom Paris | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Pedro Vives Marcos | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Petr Nesterov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Vitaliy Sachko | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Daniel Elahi Galan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Valerio Aboian | 0 - 1 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.68 | 59.5% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 04 Oct 06:15 |