| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 65.1% | 38% | +26.6% | abandoned |
| DC | Draw or away | 87.2% | 66% | +21.0% | abandoned |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 81.7% | 52% | +30.1% | abandoned |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.1% | 67% | -7.6% | abandoned |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.2% | no line | abandoned |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 25.5% | 24.0% | 50.5% |
| xgboost | 25.4% | 26.2% | 48.4% |
| logistic | 18.4% | 27.4% | 54.2% |
| Den Haag | Heerenveen | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1335 | 1574 |
| Surface Elo | 1335 | 1574 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 4 W · 4 D |
| 19 Sep | H | Cambuur | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Cambuur | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Twente | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Sep | H | For Sittard | 2 - 3 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Feyenoord | 2 - 2 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Sparta Rotterdam | 4 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Sparta Rotterdam | 4 - 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | Telstar | 0 - 0 | D |
| 06 Sep | H | AZ Alkmaar | 2 - 3 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Willem II | 2 - 2 | D |
| 06 Mar 2021 | Heerenveen | 3 - 0 | Den Haag |
| 28 Nov 2020 | Den Haag | 1 - 1 | Heerenveen |
| 22 Feb 2020 | Heerenveen | 2 - 2 | Den Haag |
| 03 Nov 2019 | Den Haag | 1 - 1 | Heerenveen |
| 09 Mar 2019 | Den Haag | 2 - 3 | Heerenveen |
| 29 Sep 2018 | Heerenveen | 1 - 1 | Den Haag |
| 17 Apr 2018 | Heerenveen | 2 - 0 | Den Haag |
| 26 Aug 2017 | Den Haag | 1 - 2 | Heerenveen |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.60 | 38.5% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.50 | 66.7% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.35 | 42.5% | 20 Sep 06:15 |