| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 71.4% | 69% | +2.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 59.3% | 40.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 76.8% | 23.2% |
| logistic | 69.2% | 30.8% |
| Anna Bondar | Renata Zarazua | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1614 | 1455 |
| Surface Elo | 1614 | 1455 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 4 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | H | Renata Zarazua | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Kimberly Birrell | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | H | Elena Gabriela Ruse | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Alina Charaeva | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Renata Zarazua | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Aryna Sabalenka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Anna Bondar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Anna Bondar | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Anna Bondar | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Sep | A | Caroline Dolehide | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Anna Bondar | 0 - 2 | Renata Zarazua |
| 22 Sep 2026 | Anna Bondar | 2 - 1 | Renata Zarazua |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Anna Bondar | 2 - 1 | Renata Zarazua |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.90 | 34.5% | 30 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.43 | 69.9% | 30 Sep 06:15 |