| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.9% | 60% | -3.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 41.6% | 58.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 41.9% | 58.0% |
| logistic | 51.1% | 48.9% |
| Massimo Giunta | Gianluca Cadenasso | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1536 | 1583 |
| Surface Elo | 1536 | 1583 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.56 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.89 | 1.20 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 16 Oct | A | Max Wiskandt | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Pavel Lagutin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Henry Searle | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Gianluca Cadenasso | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Max Wiskandt | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Marvin Moeller | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Svyatoslav Gulin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Kai Wehnelt | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Radu Mihai Papoe | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Massimo Giunta | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Gianluca Cadenasso | 2 - 0 | Massimo Giunta |
| 07 Oct 2026 | Gianluca Cadenasso | 0 - 2 | Massimo Giunta |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Gianluca Cadenasso | 0 - 2 | Massimo Giunta |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.67 | 59.9% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 17 Oct 06:15 |