| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.5% | 46% | +6.1% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 77.9% | 81% | -3.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 68.1% | 61% | +6.9% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.4% | 67% | -7.6% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 59.8% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 48.7% | 23.4% | 27.9% |
| xgboost | 49.3% | 23.5% | 27.2% |
| logistic | 57.4% | 24.0% | 18.6% |
| Galatasaray | Fenerbahce | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1837 | 1785 |
| Surface Elo | 1837 | 1785 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| Season points per game | 2.38 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.13 | 2.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.38 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 9 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 3 W · 3 D |
| 21 Oct | A | Lille | 4 - 2 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Genclerbirligi | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Genclerbirligi | 1 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Barcelona | 1 - 4 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Kasimpasa | 3 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Slavia Prague | 2 - 2 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Alanyaspor | 3 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Alanyaspor | 3 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Aston Villa | 0 - 6 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Rizespor | 3 - 0 | W |
| 26 Apr 2026 | Galatasaray | 3 - 0 | Fenerbahce |
| 01 Dec 2025 | Fenerbahce | 1 - 1 | Galatasaray |
| 24 Feb 2025 | Galatasaray | 0 - 0 | Fenerbahce |
| 21 Sep 2024 | Fenerbahce | 1 - 3 | Galatasaray |
| 19 May 2024 | Galatasaray | 0 - 1 | Fenerbahce |
| 24 Dec 2023 | Fenerbahce | 0 - 0 | Galatasaray |
| 04 Jun 2023 | Galatasaray | 3 - 0 | Fenerbahce |
| 08 Jan 2023 | Fenerbahce | 0 - 3 | Galatasaray |
| 10 Apr 2022 | Fenerbahce | 2 - 0 | Galatasaray |
| 21 Nov 2021 | Galatasaray | 1 - 2 | Fenerbahce |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.30 | 30.3% | 26 Oct 18:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 4.00 | 25.0% | 26 Oct 18:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.91 | 52.4% | 26 Oct 18:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.53 | 65.4% | 26 Oct 18:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.40 | 41.7% | 26 Oct 18:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.31 | 30.2% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.03 | 24.8% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.08 | 48.1% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.52 | 65.8% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.60 | 38.5% | 26 Oct 06:15 |