| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 78.5% | 74% | +4.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 70.9% | 29.0% |
| logistic | 77.7% | 22.3% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Alice Tubello | Polona Hercog | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1651 | 1472 |
| Surface Elo | 1651 | 1472 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.44 | 1.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.75 | 1.44 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 0.89 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 11 Nov | A | Tatjana Maria | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Nov | H | Julia Riera | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov | H | Bianca Andreescu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | A | Leolia Jeanjean | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Marina Bassols Ribera | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Nov | H | Carole Monnet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Nov | H | Varvara Lepchenko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Leyre Romero Gormaz | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Rico Sanchez, Maria Jose | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Oct | H | Valeriya Strakhova | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.05 | 32.8% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.35 | 74.1% | 12 Nov 06:15 |