| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.9% | 64% | -5.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 32.1% | 67.8% |
| logistic | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Gabriela Andrea Knutson | Alina Charaeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1542 | 1598 |
| Surface Elo | 1542 | 1598 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.83 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 26 Oct | A | Dencheva, Rositsa | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Martyna Kubka | 0 - 1 | L |
| 14 Oct | H | Susan Bandecchi | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Emiliana Arango | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | A | Maria Timofeeva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Chiesa, Enola | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Anna Siskova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Martyna Kubka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Qinwen Zheng | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Sonay Kartal | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.57 | 63.7% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 28 Oct 06:15 |