| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 64.0% | 69% | -5.0% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Draw or away | 85.8% | 89% | -3.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 82.1% | 85% | -3.2% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.0% | 64% | -4.7% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.9% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 16.1% | 22.4% | 61.5% |
| xgboost | 14.0% | 20.9% | 65.1% |
| logistic | 10.7% | 20.4% | 68.9% |
| St Mirren | Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1567 | 1847 |
| Surface Elo | 1567 | 1847 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 0.67 | 2.20 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.67 | 2.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.33 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 10 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 6 W · 2 D |
| 03 Nov | H | Peterhead | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Motherwell | 0 - 1 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Motherwell | 0 - 1 | L |
| 28 Oct | H | Hibernian | 1 - 1 | D |
| 28 Oct | H | Hibernian | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Aberdeen | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Hearts | 2 - 2 | D |
| 28 Oct | A | Heart of Midlothian FC | 2 - 2 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | St Johnstone | 4 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | St Johnstone | 4 - 0 | W |
| 09 Sep 2026 | Rangers | 1 - 0 | St Mirren |
| 15 Mar 2026 | St Mirren | 0 - 1 | Rangers |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Rangers | 2 - 1 | St Mirren |
| 24 Aug 2025 | St Mirren | 1 - 1 | Rangers |
| 26 Apr 2025 | St Mirren | 2 - 2 | Rangers |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Rangers | 0 - 2 | St Mirren |
| 26 Dec 2024 | St Mirren | 2 - 1 | Rangers |
| 27 Oct 2024 | Rangers | 2 - 1 | St Mirren |
| 28 Apr 2024 | St Mirren | 1 - 2 | Rangers |
| 27 Jan 2024 | St Mirren | 0 - 1 | Rangers |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.45 | 69.0% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 5.02 | 19.9% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 6.68 | 15.0% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.57 | 63.7% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.45 | 40.8% | 06 Nov 06:15 |