OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-14
⚽ England National League · Saturday 14 November 2026, 15:00 UTC · scheduled
Southend 1.60 15:00 0.60 Aldershot
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 66.1%71%-5.3%
DCHome or draw 83.6%92%-8.7%
DNBHome (DNB) 79.7%88%-8.8%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 62.8%72%-9.7%
BTTSBTTS yes 59.5%no line
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson63.8%19.9%16.3%
xgboost68.6%14.0%17.4%
logistic67.5%19.7%12.9%
Inputs the models saw
SouthendAldershot
Elo (pre-match)15471352
Surface Elo15471352
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.600.60
Form trend0.80-0.60
Season points per game1.500.75
Season goals for / game2.631.13
Season goals against / game2.001.63
Rest days1414
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W3 W · 3 D
Southend: last 5
31 OctAWealdstone2 - 3L
31 OctAWealdstone2 - 3L
27 OctAWorthing3 - 3D
27 OctAWorthing3 - 3D
24 OctHHalifax2 - 2D
Aldershot: last 5
07 NovABarnsley2 - 7L
03 NovHIpswich Town U210 - 5L
31 OctHGateshead1 - 0W
31 OctHGateshead1 - 0W
28 OctASutton0 - 2L
Head to head
14 Apr 2026Aldershot0 - 2Southend
04 Oct 2025Southend3 - 0Aldershot
18 Feb 2025Southend2 - 1Aldershot
23 Oct 2024Aldershot0 - 0Southend
24 Feb 2024Southend4 - 1Aldershot
26 Sep 2023Aldershot1 - 1Southend
18 Mar 2023Southend1 - 2Aldershot
26 Nov 2022Aldershot2 - 0Southend
25 Jan 2022Aldershot1 - 1Southend
14 Sep 2021Southend2 - 3Aldershot
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away6.2516.0%12 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.8020.8%12 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.4071.4%12 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.3872.5%12 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.9034.5%12 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 21:43 UTC