| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win selected | 69.2% | 62% | +6.7% | abandoned |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 69.2% | 30.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 66.8% | 33.1% |
| logistic | 67.4% | 32.6% |
| Javier Barranco Cosano | John Sperle | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1540 | 1380 |
| Surface Elo | 1540 | 1380 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 35 | 189 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 20 Sep | H | Ruffino, Elia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Aug | H | Radu Mihai Papoe | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Martin Krumich | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Mar | A | Abdullah Shelbayh | 0 - 1 | L |
| 02 Mar | A | Dimitar Kuzmanov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Jay Clarke | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Sergi Fita Juan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Mar | H | Martin Krumich | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Jun | A | Blaise Bicknell | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Jun | A | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 21 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.60 | 62.5% | 21 Sep 06:15 |