| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.7% | 68% | -11.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 53.1% | 46.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 25.2% | 74.8% |
| logistic | 52.2% | 47.8% |
| Dusan Obradovic | Adrian Andreev | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1513 | 1496 |
| Surface Elo | 1513 | 1496 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 21 | 49 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Sep | H | Stefan Adrian Andreescu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Georgii Kravchenko | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Thomas Faurel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Massimo Giunta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Gabriele Piraino | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Jonas Forejtek | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Izan Almazan Valiente | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Ivan Ivanov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Oleg Prihodko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Aug | H | Petr Nesterov | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.46 | 68.5% | 21 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.60 | 38.5% | 21 Sep 06:15 |