| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 61.8% | 62% | -0.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 58.3% | 41.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 55.1% | 44.8% |
| logistic | 60.4% | 39.6% |
| Kilian Feldbausch | Matteo Martineau | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1688 | 1666 |
| Surface Elo | 1688 | 1666 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 2.12 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.53 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 0.82 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Nov | A | Carlo Alberto Caniato | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov | H | Sumit Nagal | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Remy Bertola | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Raul Brancaccio | 1 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Tom Paris | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Nov | A | Felix Gill | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov | A | Maxim Mrva | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Adrian Andreev | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Inaki Montes De La Torre | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Otto Virtanen | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.61 | 62.1% | 08 Nov 06:15 |