| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 49.5% | 48% | +1.3% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 75.2% | 81% | -5.8% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 64.8% | 64% | +1.1% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.0% | 68% | -8.6% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 59.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 43.8% | 25.3% | 30.9% |
| xgboost | 46.5% | 26.2% | 27.3% |
| logistic | 54.8% | 24.5% | 20.7% |
| Heidenheim | Hannover | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1484 | 1489 |
| Surface Elo | 1484 | 1489 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.10 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.70 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 6 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 31 Oct | A | Karlsruhe | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Karlsruher SC | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Cottbus | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Cottbus | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Wolfsburg | 1 - 3 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Dresden | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Dresden | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Kaiserslautern | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Braunschweig | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Braunschweig | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Apr 2023 | Hannover | 0 - 3 | Heidenheim |
| 09 Oct 2022 | Heidenheim | 2 - 1 | Hannover |
| 04 Feb 2022 | Heidenheim | 3 - 1 | Hannover |
| 20 Aug 2021 | Hannover | 1 - 0 | Heidenheim |
| 11 Apr 2021 | Hannover | 1 - 3 | Heidenheim |
| 12 Dec 2020 | Heidenheim | 1 - 0 | Hannover |
| 07 Jun 2020 | Hannover | 2 - 1 | Heidenheim |
| 10 Nov 2019 | Heidenheim | 4 - 0 | Hannover |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.50 | 28.6% | 08 Nov 12:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 4.00 | 25.0% | 08 Nov 12:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.85 | 54.0% | 08 Nov 12:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.48 | 67.6% | 08 Nov 12:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.60 | 38.5% | 08 Nov 12:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.90 | 25.6% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.48 | 67.6% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.60 | 38.5% | 08 Nov 06:15 |