| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 49.0% | 51% | -2.2% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 75.0% | 78% | -3.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 64.1% | 70% | -6.1% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.3% | 55% | +2.6% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.5% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 52.0% | 25.0% | 22.9% |
| xgboost | 41.1% | 29.0% | 29.9% |
| logistic | 41.7% | 28.2% | 30.1% |
| Wycombe | Notts County | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1489 | 1475 |
| Surface Elo | 1489 | 1475 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.11 | 0.88 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.56 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.22 | 1.38 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 10 Oct | H | Luton | 1 - 4 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Luton | 1 - 4 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Bristol Rovers | 4 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Reading | 2 - 2 | D |
| 26 Sep | H | Reading | 2 - 2 | D |
| 13 Oct | H | Nottingham Forest | 5 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Oxford | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Oxford | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Grimsby | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Reading | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Mar 2018 | Notts County | 0 - 0 | Wycombe |
| 19 Aug 2017 | Wycombe | 2 - 4 | Notts County |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 4.50 | 22.2% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.71 | 58.5% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.83 | 54.6% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.03 | 49.3% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.70 | 27.0% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.00 | 50.0% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.81 | 55.2% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.97 | 50.8% | 17 Oct 06:15 |