| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.8% | 57% | -3.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 47.2% | 52.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 55.7% | 44.2% |
| logistic | 52.7% | 47.3% |
| Dayana Yastremska | Cristina Bucsa | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1520 | 1568 |
| Surface Elo | 1520 | 1568 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 8 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Iva Jovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Cristina Bucsa | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Sinja Kraus | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | H | Maja Chwalinska | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Caty McNally | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Dayana Yastremska | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Sun, Xinran | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Xinran Sun | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | Iva Jovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Sep | H | Sara Bejlek | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Cristina Bucsa | 1 - 2 | Dayana Yastremska |
| 08 Feb 2026 | Cristina Bucsa | 1 - 2 | Dayana Yastremska |
| 28 Feb 2022 | Cristina Bucsa | 0 - 2 | Dayana Yastremska |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.74 | 57.5% | 12 Oct 06:15 |